Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Ipswich
29.6%
Draw
31.4%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Ipswich
vs
1.13
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).