Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.9%
Metz
16.4%
Draw
69.7%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Metz
vs
2.53
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.9%
0-3
7.5%
0-1
7.2%
1-1
7.2%
1-4
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-4
4.8%
2-3
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
1-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).