Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
FC Koln
22.7%
Draw
36.2%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
FC Koln
vs
1.80
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS71.8%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
3-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.5%
2-3
4.3%
1-0
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).