Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.2%
Paderborn
17.4%
Draw
9.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Paderborn
vs
0.80
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.7%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
3.1%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).