Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Sporting Gijón
21.6%
Draw
10.9%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Sporting Gijón
vs
0.55
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
15.4%
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).