Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.5%
Brescia
30.2%
Draw
51.3%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Brescia
vs
1.38
Genoa
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).