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AHT: 00CSV

16 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.1%
Leganes
26.2%
Draw
28.7%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Leganes

vs
1.17

Espanol

Markets

BTTS54.5%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).