Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Walsall
23.1%
Draw
26.7%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Walsall
vs
1.16
Sutton
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).