Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Lillestrøm
28.7%
Draw
23.6%
Hoddesdon Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Lillestrøm
vs
0.81
Hoddesdon Town
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.3%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).