Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Hertha
28.7%
Draw
34.4%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Hertha
vs
1.24
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).