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AHT: 12CSV

24 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.3%
Dorking
23.8%
Draw
20.9%
Ebbsfleet

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Dorking

vs
1.12

Ebbsfleet

Markets

BTTS58.4%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).