Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
Brentford
26.1%
Draw
57.9%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Brentford
vs
1.66
Leeds
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).