Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Hartlepool
25.8%
Draw
51.4%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Hartlepool
vs
1.45
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
10.4%
0-0
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).