Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Lille
25.2%
Draw
47.1%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Lille
vs
1.49
Lens
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).