Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Gillingham
27.4%
Draw
43.1%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Gillingham
vs
1.26
Notts County
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.0%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).