Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Yeovil
25.6%
Draw
16.3%
Maidstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Yeovil
vs
0.80
Maidstone
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).