Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Hatayspor
30.0%
Draw
35.3%
Erzurum BB
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Hatayspor
vs
1.50
Erzurum BB
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-0
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
0-1
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).