Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Nice
22.5%
Draw
45.2%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Nice
vs
1.68
Lyon
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
0-3
3.7%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).