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AHT: 02CSV

11 Jul 2020 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.4%
Norwich
23.3%
Draw
65.3%
West Ham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Norwich

vs
1.95

West Ham

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.3%
0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
8.6%
0-0
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).