Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →92.3%
Villarreal
5.7%
Draw
2.0%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
3.91
Villarreal
vs
0.57
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.582.3%
Over 3.565.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.3%
4-0
11.1%
2-0
8.7%
5-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-1
6.3%
2-1
4.9%
5-1
4.9%
1-0
4.4%
1-1
2.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).