Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Watford
28.5%
Draw
24.9%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Watford
vs
0.98
Preston
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).