Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Wrexham
23.3%
Draw
34.3%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Wrexham
vs
1.40
Stockport
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).