Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Lazio
25.3%
Draw
16.1%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Lazio
vs
0.66
Pisa
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
2.6%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).