Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.5%
Modena
26.0%
Draw
15.5%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Modena
vs
0.77
Mantova
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).