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26 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.0%
Dorking
24.2%
Draw
24.8%
Oxford City

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Dorking

vs
1.27

Oxford City

Markets

BTTS61.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).