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30 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.1%
Preston
29.9%
Draw
29.0%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Preston

vs
1.03

West Brom

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).