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17 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.9%
Antwerp
31.9%
Draw
31.2%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Antwerp

vs
0.97

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).