Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.0%
Almeria
20.7%
Draw
24.3%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Almeria
vs
1.35
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS65.1%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-0
7.0%
1-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-2
4.5%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
0-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).