Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Reading
29.9%
Draw
26.8%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Reading
vs
0.98
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).