Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Genoa
22.5%
Draw
9.5%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Genoa
vs
0.57
Benevento
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
2-0
15.2%
1-1
10.2%
3-0
9.5%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
4.0%
1-2
2.6%
4-1
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).