Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.0%
Newport County
23.9%
Draw
49.1%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Newport County
vs
1.61
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).