Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Luton
27.9%
Draw
40.4%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Luton
vs
1.43
Hull
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).