Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Hamilton
24.9%
Draw
14.7%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Hamilton
vs
0.70
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).