Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.4%
Ibiza
19.5%
Draw
63.1%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Ibiza
vs
2.18
Almeria
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
0-1
8.6%
1-3
7.2%
0-3
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).