Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Southend
27.4%
Draw
35.7%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Southend
vs
1.06
Bolton
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).