Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.2%
Colchester
22.4%
Draw
18.3%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Colchester
vs
0.85
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).