Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Roma
21.2%
Draw
9.0%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Roma
vs
0.45
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS30.1%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.4%
2-0
16.9%
0-0
10.7%
3-0
10.0%
1-1
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
4.4%
4-1
2.0%
1-2
2.0%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).