Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
West Brom
29.0%
Draw
32.8%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
West Brom
vs
1.30
Burnley
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-1
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).