Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Oxford City
26.0%
Draw
46.8%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Oxford City
vs
1.67
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).