Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.8%
Derby
27.0%
Draw
43.2%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Derby
vs
1.52
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).