Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Barnsley
19.2%
Draw
24.2%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Barnsley
vs
1.33
Burton
Markets
BTTS64.3%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).