Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Martigues
24.7%
Draw
31.8%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Martigues
vs
1.13
Caen
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).