Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Sheffield Weds
29.8%
Draw
47.6%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.37
Luton
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
13.6%
0-0
11.8%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).