Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.3%
Lazio
22.3%
Draw
15.4%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Lazio
vs
0.74
Benevento
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
7.5%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).