Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.4%
Roma
17.0%
Draw
7.6%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Roma
vs
0.50
Spezia
Markets
BTTS34.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.3%
1-0
15.5%
3-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-1
7.6%
0-0
7.1%
4-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).