Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.0%
Lazio
26.7%
Draw
48.4%
Juventus
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Lazio
vs
1.41
Juventus
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).