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04 Mar 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.2%
Trabzonspor
16.4%
Draw
8.4%
Umraniyespor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.95

Trabzonspor

vs
1.01

Umraniyespor

Markets

BTTS61.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.575.6%
Over 3.555.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
1-1
7.1%
4-1
6.1%
4-0
6.0%
2-2
4.2%
1-0
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
5-1
3.6%
5-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).