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AHT: 03CSV

03 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.1%
Pescara
27.6%
Draw
31.3%
Brescia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Pescara

vs
1.28

Brescia

Markets

BTTS57.3%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).