Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.0%
Hamilton
31.2%
Draw
41.8%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Hamilton
vs
1.18
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).