Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Como
25.9%
Draw
16.3%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Como
vs
0.80
Brescia
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).